I just want you to get an idea of how trends can appear, even when the chance of the occurrence is simply 50 50. I am assuming that the coin you chose to use is strictly heads or tails and not a three figured phenomenon that you had stashed away.
I want you to flip the coin one hundred times and record the results of their appearance not in separate columns of head or tail. When you are done, look back over the results. I am sure you will find streaks of 3, 4, 5, or even 6 of the same side appearing. Yet the chances of either side showing is only 50 50 but it won't come head, tail, head, tail, head, and so forth. There will be trends or streaks of one side or the other.
Why do trends dominate, even on exercises that offer only two separate possibilities? I dunno! I also don't know why a dealer in blackjack can be ice cold for an hour and then suddenly turn scorching hot, wiping out the players, hand after hand. It is trends, and in gambling, such as blackjack, they will dominate! And there is no logical explanation.
However, I would like to inject a warning to you nonbelievers of trends. You claim to have your thinking go in the opposite direction. My friend Don Beeleave don't believe in streaks or trends. When he sees four reds in a row or any streak of more than three occurrences happening, he feels the streak is due to change.
Don Beeleave will bet opposite of the streak, claiming it is impossible for such a thing to keep showing. Don Beeleave is a dork! He has had his clock cleaned on many occasions, whereby a trend lasts for 7, 8, or 9 in a row. Does he change his thinking to take advantage of trends?
Don't be sil he's too dumb.
 |
Look no further. You have found the number one casino online. Download Sun Palace Casino and don't forget to claim your $500 bonus.
|
© Copyright 2005 John Patrick's material. It may not be published, broadcasted, rewritten, or redistributed.
Trackback URL |
0 Comments
0 Trackbacks.jpg){kind=small}
